I’d start with statistical triage: verify randomization, check for instrumentation bugs, and recompute effect sizes and 95% CIs. If the primary metric is +0.8% (p=0.12) but CTR secondary +6% (p<0.01) and Segment X shows +15% while Segment Y shows −4%, I’d check power — we may be underpowered for a 1–2% lift. I’d correct for multiple comparisons (Benjamini-Hochberg) and run interaction tests to confirm heterogeneity. Risk-wise I’d estimate revenue and brand impact if negative segments scale. My likely path: don’t full-roll; instead run targeted rollouts for the high-value positive segments (start at 10% ramp to 50%) while iterating on the experience for neutral/negative segments via follow-up experiments. Add monitoring and rollback rules (e.g., revenue drop >2%). If follow-ups show consistent net benefit across cohorts after 4–8 weeks, I’d proceed to broader launch.
Takes 5-10 minutes
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